Early in
2012, using PolitiFact's own Truth Index calculation method, I published a
Truth Index by occupation for the year 2011.
That was for 1,919 PolitiFact rulings. This time it will be for ALL
rulings through the 2012 election, that is, 6,535 rulings. The result is somewhat similar to that for
the 2011 analysis. Here is how they
break down by category:
| Click to enlarge: Each proportional slice of the pie gives the number of rulings |
This time I
am using the Truth Index+ method to calculate the results as applied to the 6,535 rulings, which equally measures
(starting at zero for Pants on Fire to 100 for True) all Truth-o-Meter categories. Office
holders, of course, compose the largest group of PolitiFact "rulees"
comprising over half. This time,
however, I've decided to separate out the "candidates" who were not
in office at the time they made their fact-checked statements. This greatly reduces the "Other"
category which is where they would have gone.
The majority of candidates in this category were Republican: for example, Mitt Romney, Herman Cain, and from 2008, Rudy
Giuliani and Fred Thompson. In fact,
there were only 22 statements in this category attributed to Democrats, which
means any comparison between Democrats and Republicans in terms of the Truth
Index means very little.
The Truth
Index+ for those categories shows the disparity between Republicans and
Democrats attributed by some to "bias." Every category except one (PACs and Super
PACs) had an index favoring the Democrats.
In the case of media (pundits, chain e-mails, blogs, etc.), the variance
was quite large, at almost 40 percent, compared to the overall average variance
of 16 percent, or 15 percent for those holding office.
| Click to enlarge: Media (chain e-mails, pundits, celebrities) was by far the least truthful. |
Finally, here's
the raw "Pants on Fire" factor graphed for the same occupation
categories. This factor is a measure of
how much more often a party is assigned a Pants on Fire when a statement is
determined False by PolitiFact. The red
(Republican) and blue (Democrat) bars are all the same--they all equal a one, with
the "fire" bar a measure of how much more that party is assigned the
Pants on Fire when they get a False. Even with the Democrat
dominance of a favorable Truth Index, this factor does not correlate that well
with it, except in the case of the media.
The "presidential candidate" factor is not a good one, either,
because as noted above there were so few Democrat rulings (of the 467 rulings, 22 were on
Democrats.) And it gets even more out of
kilter when the "in office" number is broken down further by position, up next.
| Click to enlarge: While media had worst Truth Index, advocacy groups (Republican) told most "whoppers." |
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