Tuesday, July 30, 2013

2013: First Half "Overlapping Fact-Checks"

Of the 939 fact-checks published between (or among?) PolitiFact, the Washington Post FactChecker and Factcheck.Org in the first six months of 2013, there were 21 instances where two or more of the three fact-checkers did the same fact-check.  There were also cases where it was the same fact-check, but the statement being checked was made by different persons or organizations.  Sometimes a statement would be repeated (a "talking point") so it may have been fact-checked again at a later date (by the same fact-checker, which often occurs in the case of PolitiFact), which occasionally would change the rating.
 
At the end of 2012, with the Sandy Hook tragedy shortly before Christmas, guns and gun control suddenly became the hot topic politically, and the fact-checkers followed as 2013 began.  The most frequently overlapping topic concerned guns, followed by healthcare and the federal budget.  And as one might expect, significant nationally broadcast speeches, such as Obama's State of the Union address, were attractive fact-checking fodder.
 
Three statements had all three fact-checkers, PolitiFact, the Washington Post FactChecker, and FactCheck.Org, making a judgment.  One of them, by Barack Obama, had a differing outcome (the fact-checkers appear to be in disagreement), which I may be taking a better look at in another post.  In fact, in certain respects this was not a "triple" as I will explain.  The other two were by the same person, Michele Bachmann, who seems to be popular with the fact-checkers as far as what they believe are outlandish statements, and they were not disappointed.
 
The following are a selection of nine of those 21 instances, including the two three-peaters from Bachmann as well as those having some conflicts with ratings (my comments in italics).

Statement
"Other Fact-checker"
PolitiFact
Barack Obama: (SOTU on 2/13):
"The U.S. has created half million manufacturing jobs in three years."
WaPo Factchecker: (in June when Obama repeated it)  Two Pinnochios:  "It's time to retire this talking point."

Factcheck.Org: "The president was correct...but that's not the whole story."
True:  "...he has described the numbers carefully."

This was by far the most contro-
versial of PolitiFact's rulings, as it was technically correct but according to the other two fact-
checkers, lacked context.
Barack Obama: (repeated)
"40% of all guns purchased/sold do not require a background check."

Repeated by Sen. Ted Cruz (R), Tom Barrett (D), and David
Cicilline (D).
The WaPo started with an unrated "Verdict Pending" followed by Two Pinnochios a day later, then two months later Three Pinnochios.

Factcheck.Org deemed this one an inconclusive "uncertain."
Half True Ted Cruz (R), Tom Barrett (D) and David Cicilline (D) all received the same rating.

PolitiFact did not rate Obama on this statement.
Michele Bachmann: (3/19)  "70 percent of the food stamp budget goes to bureaucrats."WaPo Factchecker:  Four Pinnochios. “There really aren't enough Pinnochios for such a misleading use of statistics."

Factcheck.Org:  "...a grossly inaccurate claim."
Pants on Fire:  "That is ridiculously off base."

 
Michele Bachmann: (5/20):  The IRS is going to be "in charge of" a "huge national database" on healthcare with Americans' personal secrets.“WaPo Factchecker:  Four Pinnochios.  "There is no evidence to support this assertion, and she is simply scaring people."

Factcheck.Org:  "...falsely claimed..."
Pants on Fire: "She has mischaracterized the intent and limitations of the hub.  It's not a database."
Barack Obama: (SOTU on 2/13) The Affordable Care Act is "helping to slow the growth of healthcare costs." Factcheck.Org:  "It may be helping, but the slower growth of healthcare spending began before the law was enacted."Half True: "Obama is taking credit for more than he can prove."  
Ron Johnson (R) stated that Obamacare has "$1 Trillion in hidden middle class taxes" which was denied as "untrue" at the same time by Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (D)  on ABC's "This Week"  3/10.WaPo Factchecker:  Two Pinnochios for both: "Both lawmakers found themselves either a modifier too long or short."

Factcheck.Org: "Wasserman-
Schultz is wrong...(but) Johnson exaggerates."
PolitiFact did not fact-check either statement.
Barack Obama:  (SOTU on 2/13/)  The U.S. has doubled "the distance our cars will go on a gallon of gas."Factcheck.Org: "The (president's claim)...isn't remotely close to being true right now."False:  "The statement was misleading and more importantly untrue."
Barack Obama:  (4/17)
The NRA "used to support background checks."
WaPo Factchecker:  NO RATING.  "At the same time the NRA worked hard to defeat the proposals advanced by...other Democrats."True:  "The NRA has acknowledged that it has since changed its position to opposition." 

This was also a conflict in ratings as WaPo's "no rating" is much different than True regardless that it is "not" a rating.
Tom Coburn: (5/9 on MSNBC).  "After the national park gun ban was lifted, violent crime fell by 85 percent."WaPo Factchecker: Three Pinnochios.  "...there is no evidence that crime has declined because guns have been permitted."False:  "....far from clear."


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